Progressing over the last week with my scenario I tried to develop further the knock on effect my ideas would have in the time period I have set and what may come of the existing spaces around the site, as previously highlighted: the Bryta works and garage areas.
Stage 2 2030-2040: Now the effects of fuel shortages begin to be felt everywhere, motor transport is gone leaving roads, railway lines and airports disused and largely abandoned. This is due to the fact that what is left of fossil fuels are being used to maintain the power grid which is being bolstered largely by green energies now, Which leads to the prospering of bicycles and other forms of manual transport. Bound to their localities now people begin to enhance the areas in which they reside.
Bryta works has found use again through 2 new emerging markets bamboo bikes and mycelium products, whilst the garages near the residential area have become an agricultural learning centre equipped with Hydroponics to share both knowledge and food with the community as part of the garden cities project. The housing blocks have also begun growing their own food to sustain them as food costs climb higher, which has led to the once divided gardens becoming one large allotment encircled by the houses who gain most from the development.
The Transport hub has been constructed to house both a market for the local area as well as a council which helps govern the area through devolved powers from the state, though these areas are largely disused as people are still adapting to the world they now find themselves in.
Stage 3 2040-2050: The grid is now solely maintained by green energies which create just enough power to keep the lights on and water running as well as low energy technologies, but blackouts are a constant threat. The last of the fossil fuels are stored for other uses than energy production and people have now adapted to the realisation that work, play and home are all in the same place as it is folly to travel the distances we once did.
The power troubles have led to many incentivised energy production projects to spring up backed by both companies and government, this sees dye sensitized PVs becoming a major industry as people line their roofs with them. The river now cleaned, maintained and used by the local constituents also has areas where small scale hydro screws have been installed to power the local area, whilst water wheels pump water to agricultural water stores for later use.
Local industries like the toolmakers (Robert Sorbys) begin to make and trade tools and resources with the new Bryta works tenants, which leads to the renewal of interest in the profession by locals whilst replacing the lost international exports with local investment.
This draws to an end my current scenario which spans 30 years in total but creates a largely new mind-set and world in which people have had to adapt and contort, the areas that have been developed will now become my primary focus as the design and use of these areas will be determined by the scenarios far reaching effects both materialistically and through their forms.